Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.059049 0.063921 0.068846 0.074189 0.079815 0.085555 0.091847
2025-02-16 0.053406 0.060762 0.068446 0.077043 0.086365 0.096143 0.107146
2025-02-23 0.045397 0.054196 0.063681 0.074601 0.086764 0.099835 0.114881
2025-03-02 0.039957 0.049860 0.060843 0.073813 0.088597 0.104815 0.123839
2025-03-09 0.035643 0.046366 0.058577 0.073331 0.090499 0.109673 0.132534
2025-03-16 0.033620 0.045313 0.058927 0.075693 0.095529 0.118006 0.145150
2025-03-23 0.031351 0.043744 0.058488 0.076975 0.099194 0.124708 0.155882
2025-03-30 0.029212 0.042149 0.057859 0.077897 0.102330 0.130732 0.165806
2025-04-06 0.026787 0.040005 0.056397 0.077662 0.103967 0.134910 0.173518
2025-04-13 0.025542 0.039280 0.056620 0.079436 0.107992 0.141911 0.184583
2025-04-20 0.023350 0.037151 0.054927 0.078694 0.108834 0.145019 0.190958
2025-04-27 0.021825 0.035815 0.054166 0.079053 0.110980 0.149670 0.199175
2025-05-04 0.020744 0.035061 0.054169 0.080427 0.114473 0.156085 0.209709
2025-05-11 0.020344 0.035240 0.055405 0.083417 0.120052 0.165134 0.223561
2025-05-18 0.017988 0.032451 0.052492 0.080822 0.118385 0.165112 0.226214
2025-05-25 0.016433 0.030732 0.050958 0.079981 0.118917 0.167795 0.232192
2025-06-01 0.015113 0.029279 0.049716 0.079468 0.119824 0.170919 0.238705
2025-06-08 0.014807 0.029373 0.050668 0.081963 0.124718 0.179152 0.251691
2025-06-15 0.014188 0.028931 0.050813 0.083317 0.128090 0.185446 0.262263
2025-06-22 0.013506 0.028339 0.050703 0.084290 0.130938 0.191071 0.272012
2025-06-29 0.012544 0.027222 0.049761 0.084042 0.132101 0.194496 0.278957
2025-07-06 0.012193 0.027108 0.050310 0.085915 0.136161 0.201716 0.290801
2025-07-13 0.011210 0.025843 0.049050 0.085131 0.136538 0.204087 0.296399